The Economic Effects of Copyright – Using CREATe & CORE Resources to Inform Regulators and Lawyers

The First Asia-Pacific Workshop on Empirical Methods in Innovation, IP and Competition was held at National Law University in Delhi in early March 2017. The workshop brought together researchers and regulators from India and South East Asia. Sessions focussed on the economics of IP law, the link between competition and IP law, regulation of competition… Continue reading The Economic Effects of Copyright – Using CREATe & CORE Resources to Inform Regulators and Lawyers

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Opportunities for Empirical Research on Copyright

In contrast to patents and trade marks , text and other materials protected by copyright do not necessarily end up being registered. That, it would seem, will curtail the possibilities for research on the effects of copyright protection or on any other research questions you might have regarding copyright. Nonetheless, there has been quite a bit… Continue reading Opportunities for Empirical Research on Copyright

Patent thickets and first-time patenting: New evidence

Patent filings have proliferated globally in recent years. While some may see this as a direct consequence of increased innovation, this column uses evidence from the UK to show that patent thickets – patents belonging to many companies protecting overlapping technology – reduce innovation. Patent thickets decrease entry (i.e. first time patenting in an area) by 20%, which is substantial bearing in mind that the average probability of entry into a technology area is only about 1.5%.

Predicting Sales with Google Trends

In 2009 the German government spent around 5 billion € to incentivize the replacement of older cars and to keep the car industry afloat after the financial crisis of 2008. We ( Graevenitz/Helmers/Millot/Turnbull ) exploit this subsidy "shock" to analyse how data on searches from Google Trends can be used to predict sales of cars in the United Kingdom and in Germany. The paper demonstrates how data on internet search can be used to predict product sales levels. As internet search also reveals variations in interest in many other things the methods used in the paper should have a wide range of application.